Partisan Media, Electoral Predictions, and Wishful Thinking
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Wishful Thinking
and we will write to you when there is a bed available yes I know it's painful, and six months is a long time to wait, but I am afraid we have already lost two wards this year because of the cuts. Mrs Thatcher keeps taking money away from us to spend on Trident Missiles Yes I wish you would write to your Member of Parliament about it. Hello Sister, is it tea time yet? Sister: Not yet I'm afraid...
متن کاملWishful Thinking
An experiment tested whether and in what circumstances people are more likely to believe an event simply because it makes them better off. Subjects observed a financial asset’s historical price chart, and received both an accuracy bonus for predicting the price at some future point, and an unconditional award that was either increasing or decreasing in this price. Despite incentives for hedging...
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ONE OF THE thorny problems of software development is accurately assessing progress and the cost remaining to completion. Without a good sense of where the project is and how far it still has to go, it’s just not possible to consistently manage people and resources well. And miscommunicating progress to stakeholders is among the surest ways to lose trust and buy-in. Despite a plethora of techno...
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As a supplement to our lead editorial, the editors of the new journal, Epidemiologic Perspectives & Innovations, provide a partial list of specific analyses and topic areas they would like to see submitted to the journal.
متن کاملElectoral Competition and Partisan Policy Feedbacks∗
We study dynamic electoral competition with partisan policy feedbacks (a situation in which a policy systematically affects the electorate’s future political preferences) in a public finance environment. Two parties with diverging preferences over redistribution choose socially undesirable levels of public employment because employment status systematically affects a citizen’s beliefs about red...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Public Opinion Quarterly
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0033-362X,1537-5331
DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfy006